• @TropicalDingdong
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    8 months ago

    any centrists to flip

    Centrists?

    This is such a persistent myth about American politics. There is basically no evidence to suggest that a ‘center’ has ever existed outside of being a convenient narrative for NPR to orbit around. You don’t win American elections appealing to ‘centrists’ (who statistically don’t exist), you win them driving out a base. We have a strongly bimodal electorate that has only gotten more and more bimodal since the year 2000.

    We have 3 demographics in American in order of volume: Independents, Democrats, and Republicans. Democrats, if they want to win, need to drive their base out, and expand it (if possible).

    No Republican will vote Democratic in this election. The best you can do is get them to stay home. But no quantity of political capitol will bring them to the Democratic side. Its a complete waste of resources.

    Democrats can only drive out their base (go after policy positions their base wants), or bring in independents (expand to policy positions independents favor). Its just naive to the current environment to promote working with Republicans as a viable path for house Democrats. It would be completely shooting themselves in the foot.

    • FuglyDuck
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      18 months ago

      We have 3 demographics in American in order of volume: Independents, Democrats, and Republicans. Democrats, if they want to win, need to drive their base out, and expand it (if possible).

      No Republican will vote Democratic in this election. The best you can do is get them to stay home. But no quantity of political capitol will bring them to the Democratic side. Its a complete waste of resources.

      this isn’t entirely true. my dad, for example, has been a life long republican who will be voting for Biden- and did in the last election.

      Besides which, Biden is a centrist. he’s only progressive compared to literal, actual fascists like trump, Desantis and Abbot. that he’s also slightly more progressive than Obama or the Clintons just demonstrates the two big camps inside the big tent.

      the point I’m trying to make is that no matter what your goal is, you’re going to get closer to it with a known quantity like Johnson that whatever sack of smashed asshole they find next. Democrats don’t lose anything. but they might get something if Johnson owes them. and he’d owe them bigtime.

      They don’t lose anything because they can still nuke any single effort done by republicans. its how we got the Ukraine aid passed- by nuking Israel aid until they complied.

      Maga republicans will lose nothing if congress gets nuked. in fact, it’ll probably make their base happy. because “Murica, Fuck Yeah!” or… something.

      • @TropicalDingdong
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        -18 months ago

        Maga republicans will lose nothing if congress gets nuked.

        Yeah except the election. MAGA has held the house now for two years and has jack shit to show for it. They’ve shown they can’t govern. Lets keep it that way. Stop extending olive branches to these people acting in bad faith. I’ve heard and understand your points, but you’re treating the house like there is time left on the clock to do anything and there simply isn’t, and you haven’t provided a single tangible thing to go after that both D’ and R’ could work on (I offered mj reform, I think that would be popular on both sides).

        So you are simply wrong. Like flat out. There is only negative value for house Democrats to deepen or expand their relationship with house Republicans when they’ve already got the W. House Democrats don’t need to get anything done in the next 4 months because they got the aid bill passed, and can point to the incompetence of Republicans as to why nothing else got done. There is 0 political gains to working or supporting Johnson. Its only political costs. Working with the Republicans any further would be like throwing the ball instead of taking a knee when you can just run out the clock.

        Democrats got what they wanted. Its time to take their W and go back to their home districts and campaign. Leave R’s with that shitsucking taste in their mouth.

        See you have some of the cynicism necessary… but…

        • FuglyDuck
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          8 months ago

          Who said it’s a fucking Olive branch? You?

          They have the ability now to nuke any legislation that comes across. Dems already have the power.

          Protecting him means concessions, it means moving the Overton window back to where it should be.

          It means going on the offensive.

          Instead you want memes and headlines. Take the pittance and go home. Is that it? Obstructionism is their play book. We start using it and it leads to the same dumb place.

          It makes it easier for them to pass their fascist bullshit. Not harder.

          • @TropicalDingdong
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            -18 months ago

            Who said it’s a fucking Olive branch? You?

            You bruh. That’s your argument. Its what you’ve been arguing for this entire thread. Your argument, not mine.

            That’s what working with Republicans is. Its an olive branch. Its redemption for the Republicans being so clearly in the wrong in terms of strategy for the past 8 years. Like they’ve been governing for a long time and have actually nothing to show for it. Now you’ve found an ally in Mike Johnson and you are saying house Democrats should work with Mike Johnson to do “stuff” , i.e., pass laws in the House. You are silly if you think you’ll get anything other than conservative legislation passed with Mike Johnson. And your argument is that House Democrats should? Bruh.

            And if that isn’t the case, I’ve asked you what laws Democrats should go for, like whats the material position here, whats the specific policy or legislation, and you’ve offered none. Your ‘going on the offensive’ is just handing R’s the opportunity to turn a loss into a win. Its naive, poorly thought out, and you don’t even have a single bill or law to offer that Democrats could use this strategy with. You simply aren’t cynical enough to appreciate the cost of the strategy you’ve outlined, and its not clear you’ve even really though of it enough to have an answer considering you cant tell me what legislation they should go after.

            Its incredibly naive and its generally kinda silly, the kind of piss-ant level “appeal to the moderates” analysis that Hillary used to beat Trump oh wait lose to Trump.

            • FuglyDuck
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              8 months ago

              You clearly are lacking in reading comprehension.

              Or you’re just trolling to piss me off.

              That’s what working with Republicans is. Its an olive branch. Its redemption for the Republicans being so clearly in the wrong in terms of strategy for the past 8 years

              No. It’s taking the best action to advance democratic policies. We won’t get any policies or influence with whoever comes next.

              Welcome to a split congress. Your position would give them free rein to try and pass whatever they want in the house.

              It’s not an olive branch. It’s a leash.

              And if that isn’t the case, I’ve asked you what laws Democrats should go for, like whats the material position here, whats the specific policy or legislation, and you’ve offered none. Your ‘going on the offensive’ is just handing R’s the opportunity to turn a loss into a win

              Sealioning. Go watch some political news. If you can’t find something worthwhile, you’re not paying attention.

              And again, it is not handing them a win. They win if we do get rid of him just as much as we lose. We gain nothing by it, but we give up that leash.

              Your way clears the way for the fascists to do whatever the fuck they want, with no motivation at all to come to the table. At least with Johnson on the leash, we can block most of what comes down; and maybe get something meaningful.

              Which is probably better than the headlines we’ll get.