• @venusaur
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    101 month ago

    It’s the other way around. They not gonna do what u want them to because they know you’ll have to vote for them because of their fear politics. Let them know they’re not getting your vote. They’re gonna lose their jobs. Then they’ll try harder.

    • BarqsHasBite
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      1 month ago

      Dude no. They need to win elections which means they can’t lose to Republicans. That’s it. When they know they can’t lose, they will move on to better policies. They aren’t going to magically move left when there’s a very real chance of losing the election. Sorry to say, you’re twisting yourself into knots trying to justify not voting.

      • OBJECTION!
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        111 month ago

        Why on earth would they move left if there’s no risk of losing? They want to enact right wing policies because that’s what their donors pay them to do.

        • BarqsHasBite
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          81 month ago

          Your question is complete backwards. They can’t move left because there is a real chance of losing. You win elections from the center. If you have a risk of losing that means you stay firmly in the center.

          • OBJECTION!
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            131 month ago

            You win elections from the center.

            That’s absolute nonsense. The number of people who are politically engaged swing voters is very marginal. Meanwhile, a full third of the country doesn’t vote. You win elections through turnout, and you get turnout by supporting popular policies that actually benefit people.

            Alternatively, you can win elections through money, if you can convince the rich that you’ll govern in their interests, against the interests of the poor.

            The democrats, broadly speaking, prefer to win through the latter method because they get more money that way, but that doesn’t make it the most effective method. They just have a loud enough signal to convince people it’s the only method.

            • BarqsHasBite
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              1 month ago

              You literally win from the middle. One switched vote is worth double from the fringes, because you take away from the other party and get one yourself.

              And if you run against incumbents, you have to be even more in the middle - think Clinton and Biden. Biden had to run center, although he’s acting further left than what he ran on.

              Sorry but you’re just trying to justify not voting, by pretending that not voting will magically make the party move left. It won’t. It’s fantasy. Not voting means they will meet in the middle even harder.

              You want change? Make the Dems win resoundingly and successively.

              • OBJECTION!
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                1 month ago

                Why on earth would you bring up Clinton to support your argument? She did exactly what you described and somehow managed to lose what should’ve been an extremely easy election. Biden managed to win by a very narrow margin in another extremely easy matchup. Not included in your data set are any candidates who ran more to the left, such as Obama (though he governed far to the right of how he ran).

                There’s so many more disengaged voters than swing voters that it doesn’t matter if swing voters are worth more. Besides, swing voters don’t just vote according to a rational policy calculus of centrism. A lot of it is vibes or superficial nonsense.

                The dems are not going to magically move left, against their donors interests and the interests they’ve repeatedly demonstrated they hold, just because they win. Especially if that win comes through unconditional support from the left. They are not your friends, and they don’t share your interests. They’re careerists pursuing their own advancement.

                • BarqsHasBite
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                  1 month ago

                  Bill Clinton is the one that ran against an incumbent. He had to run center. Against Bush senior. Bill Clinton. The one that was actually president. Bill.

                  Hillary Clinton thank you for bringing that up. She ran on climate war/map room. That and the attacks lost it. But what do you think the window would be if Hillary Clinton won? Easy, it would be further left. You’re making my case for me.

                  And what did the protest no vote do? That’s right, fucking handed it to Trump. You’re making my case for me

                  Instead Trump won and guess what happened to the Overton window? It went off the cliff to the right. And it’s still there because he won and could win again. You’re making this too easy.

                  Disengaged voters you say. Hey I wonder what they could do. Hmmmmmmmm. Hmmmmm. Hmmmmm. I think they could, wait for it, vote! If you want policy number 475 you have to vote for policy 1 first. That’s exactly what happened with GOP, they voted for decades and they finally got roe overturned. You keep making my case.

                  Besides, swing voters don’t just vote according to a rational policy calculus of centrism. A lot of it is vibes or superficial nonsense.

                  Doesn’t fucking matter. They vote. And guess what, that means they get heard. You keep making my case for me.

                  Agree the Dems aren’t going to magically move left like you think they’re going to when you don’t vote. They will move with the voters. But you don’t like this so you try to say it’s all donors and whatever else. It’s unbelievable. The way you get things is to change is to vote. This is so incredibly easy but you want to make up excuses and do mental gymnastics. Get dem in the whitehouse and majority in Congress for 20 years straight and watch it fucking move. You do that by voting.

                  Oh I see you’re from .ml. it’ll just be more excuses and mental gymnastics. Ciao.

                  • OBJECTION!
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                    11 month ago

                    Hillary Clinton thank you for bringing that up. What do you think the window would be if Hillary Clinton won? Easy, it would be further left. You’re making my case for me.

                    Instead Trump won and guess what happened to the Overton window? It went off the cliff to the right. And it’s still there because he won and could win again. You’re making this too easy.

                    It is, in fact, very easy to have a conversation when you’re only having it with yourself.

                    If you agreed with everything I said, do you think that would make you more correct or less correct? That’s right, more correct. Therefore I’m right. You’re making my case for me, this is too easy, blah blah blah.

            • @NewNewAccount
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              21 month ago

              You seem knowledgeable enough about the topic to realize that it’s not as cut-and-dry as you’re making it out to be.

                • @NewNewAccount
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                  41 month ago

                  Elections are massively complicated and a single strategy doesn’t determine who wins and loses. You and the other commenter could both be right (or wrong), depending on the context or circumstances.

                  • OBJECTION!
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                    31 month ago

                    Sure, there could be some specific cases where they’re correct. But if you can’t say anything about elections unless it’s generalizable to all circumstances, then you can’t say anything about elections at all. I’m speaking generally.

      • @WraithGear
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        101 month ago

        You are assuming that leftward momentum is what the democrats want. I am sure a couple do, but the establishment democrats showed their hands when the super delegates prevented actual progress, and shut down referendums that won to establish ranked voting on state’s levels. Without motivation to change they will not because they got theirs.

        And no i don’t want fucking trump being president, using his presidency to quash his lawsuits, damn Ukraine, damn Palestine, sell off what little progress our civilization made to fighting climate change, remove further rights from the vulnerable groups, establishing Christianity as the national religion, kill off all our agent for money, establish the president breaking the law as a with qualified immunity, rewriting the history books, burn and silence dissenting thought, further pollute the judicial system with cronies, and pardon neo nazi criminals.

        It just sucks knowing that no matter what i do the US is directly responsible for yet another genocide, and in 4 years it will be de santis or who knows trump running yet again, and it will again be “now is not the time to rock the boat, vote blue no matter who, or else “”democracy”” will end…again” now and forever more as justification to block actual change and then force conservative democrats to win the primaries.

        • BarqsHasBite
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          1 month ago

          It’s the Overton window. If the right ideas keep losing, then the left ideas have more say. If the right wing ideas don’t win you elections, they slowly fade away. If left wing ideas win you elections, the the whole Overton window goes to which left wing ideas will win.

          Like dude you just listed off the entire Overton window that they’re appealing to because it won them an election and might win them another election. Like you just did it! Why do those talking points even exist? Because it won and could win again. Shut those out by voting. Tell them resoundingly that there’s no chance of winning on those ideas, and then the Overton window can move left.

          • @WraithGear
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            11 month ago

            The Overton windows slides right during a Democrat presidency. Just slower

            • BarqsHasBite
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              1 month ago

              Dude you didn’t address anything I said, just a glib catchphrase that’s frankly wrong. But in good faith I’ll discuss:Depends on the circumstances. Clinton and Biden running against incumbents had to be even more center, although Biden is acting more left than what he ran. But you want to suggest Obama with Obamacare was right? Yeah no. And Biden is left than what he ran: IRA, chips act, marijuana, etc. Sorry your little catchphrase is inaccurate.

              And if you want even more inaccuracy, get dem president and Congress majority for 20 years straight and watch it move. Because, as I said, you can’t do what you want when there’s a real chance of losing. Then more left ideas in the party get more attention and traction. Which is, you guessed it, the Overton window.

      • @[email protected]
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        71 month ago

        It’s naive to think that voters have more influence on policies than donors/lobbyists. If democrats win every election then capitalists will just donate more to make sure their needs are met. All politicians are corrupted by huge sums of money.

        • BarqsHasBite
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          41 month ago

          While there’s some legitimacy in money winning elections, you know what it comes down to? Fucking votes.

          • @[email protected]
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            31 month ago

            I feel like you didn’t read my comment at all. Because your point is completely irrelevant to what I said.

            • BarqsHasBite
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              1 month ago

              I addressed it. I’ll try again. The ultimate deciding factor in elections is votes. Literally votes. Election night isn’t spent tallying who raised the most money, it’s literally counting who got the most votes.

              • @[email protected]
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                11 month ago

                Again not relevant at all to what I said. My comment wasn’t about election results but about policies. It doesn’t matter who wins an election because capitalists will always make sure to donate to the winner in order to decide their policies.

                • BarqsHasBite
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                  1 month ago

                  Ah I see you’re trying to ignore the entire Overton window point. Which is what I was talking about from the start. Votes change the Overton window dude. It’s really that simple. If you want the Overton window to change, you vote.

                  You’re conflating a shit ton. Do capitalists care about abortion? No. Rich donors probably didn’t really care either. Guess what changed it? Fucking votes. They picked that topic because it gets votes.

                  Votes determine policy and the Overton window because votes win elections.

                  And that is what I said: while there’s some legitimate talking point in money helping to win elections, what ultimately wins elections is, wait for it, votes. Votes are the ultimate decider for elections and yes policy.

    • @TotallynotJessica
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      51 month ago

      They aren’t using enough fear politics. The entire planet should be afraid of a fascist United States. Trump will tank the global economy. Trump will be more hostile to other nations than even liberal imperialists. There is no upside.

      It’s even better for accelerationists if the systemfails under liberals. If it fails under a fascist, liberals can just claim it only failed because fascists gained control.

      • @venusaur
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        1 month ago

        Biden and democrats are taking advantage of this situation to do whatever they want because people are afraid not to vote for them. A lot of people are waking up tho and democrats need to either do what the people want or risk losing the vote. Not to Trump, just no vote. There will always be a Trump. It might take 4 years of Trump for the world to see how our voting system needs to be reformed and the two party system torn apart. Democrats are not for the people. They’re for the dollar bill.

        • @TotallynotJessica
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          51 month ago

          No fucking shit genius. Ofc they’re taking advantage of the situation. That’s what the more left wing party does. However, not voting is forfeiting your choice. Unless you have a large, organized coalition who otherwise would vote, boycotts aren’t very effective. This is especially true when the worse choice is about as bad as choices can get. Unfortunately, there’s no use explaining project 2025 when your opinion isn’t based on facts.

          You think I disagree with you out of ignorance, but it’s your wistful thinking creating fake options. You’re just coping with the depressing reality. You believe not voting for Biden is an option because you really want there to be another way. You need to recognize your actual situation before you can find a way out of it. Acknowledgement is not the same as saying things are good and should continue.

          IS =/= OUGHT!

          • @venusaur
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            1 month ago

            Not participating is absolutely a choice. You’re brainwashed and afraid.

            I don’t you disagree with you about my feelings about the Democratic Party. I disagree with your playing into fear politics instead of opting out. The cycle has to end at some point even if it takes a huge wake up call.

            • @TotallynotJessica
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              41 month ago

              Yeah, the wake up call that’ll put people like me to sleep forever 🙃

              • @venusaur
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                01 month ago

                Trump is gonna kill you? Damn. They really got in your head.

                • @TotallynotJessica
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                  41 month ago

                  Not me specifically, but they want trans people eradicated, and I am indeed trans. If you aren’t aware of what they’re literally saying about us, what they’re already doing to us in red states, that’s your problem.

                  I’m also brown, educated, left wing, outspoken, neurodivergent, bisexual, and a woman. I’m the embodiment of everything they hate. I’m their worst nightmare. I’m an obvious target for the state violence Trump promises to carry out. I made the mistake of not taking him on his word last time, and I won’t make it again.

                  • @venusaur
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                    1 month ago

                    This isn’t oppression Olympics. Don’t need to know all the identifying factors that make you more oppressed than other people so you have some sort of moral or social high ground.

                    Last I heard lots of trans people are killing themselves. Sounds like a mental health crisis more than a political one.

                    I agree that Trump will do damage to the LGBTQ2A+ community and other oppressed communities, but the president doesn’t have all the power. Everything goes through the house and/or senate.

                    Please feel free to vote for a man who is aiding in the murder of innocent children and families. I will not tell my children and potentially grandchildren that I chose him or Trump to lead our country. I’ll vote for house and senate until they fix the electoral college and allow RCV or something similar for presidential elections.

            • @Feathercrown
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              31 month ago

              In what way will voting for a fascist end the cycle? By making us not be able to vote anymore? Yeah, real good option you’re pushing for there.

              • @venusaur
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                1 month ago

                I never said I was voting for anybody. And you’ve clearly bought into the scare tactics. You honestly think the president has the power to stop voting? Relax. Take 4 more years of Trump and get it over with. Dems are losers. They need to wake up and give the people what they want instead of relying on scare tactics.

                • @TotallynotJessica
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                  41 month ago

                  Yes, and you thinking he can’t is giving American democracy too much credit. You have more faith in the system than any lib if you think that unironically.

                  • @venusaur
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                    1 month ago

                    You’re catastrophizing. Understandable, but not realistic and not healthy. Really think it through. How could the president put an end to voting in the United States? Especially in 4 years. If you think that’s possible, think about why democrats haven’t then tried to reform the electoral college. Because they don’t want true democracy either.

                    Yes Trump would swing a lot of things right, but not to the extent that democrats are scaring people into believing.

    • @[email protected]
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      31 month ago

      It’s the other way around in my country. The more votes the middle and left parties lost, the further they moved to the right in an attempt to claw back votes. But then there was a huge protest campaign against the right and the right started losing votes in our regular surveys (though still much too strong).
      So I urge you to vote for your option that is not regularly talking about using fascist methods and undoing gained freedoms “on day one”.

      • @venusaur
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        1 month ago

        i see what you’re saying. if only people on the right are voting, then they’ll shift focus to the right, but that should pave the way for a candidate on the left that people actually want. the problem is there is no true democracy and no potential for third party candidates to actually win. I will not vote unless there is a candidate I actually want to lead the country, and/or they implement RCV or a similar voting system for presidential elections. i’ll still vote for house and senate.

        • @[email protected]
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          21 month ago

          I can understand and respect your stance. Personally, I wouldn’t take the chance of having to live under a Trump presidency though.

          • @venusaur
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            11 month ago

            When does it stop tho? He can keep running as long as he wants and dems can keep taking advantage of that to do whatever they want because they know they’ll get the vote because of fear politics.

        • BarqsHasBite
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          11 month ago

          but that should pave the way for a candidate on the left that people actually want

          Candidates don’t emerge for voters that don’t vote. Because in the analysis they don’t even exist, because they don’t vote. It’s a null data set. No politician is going to gamble on it possibly maybe existing but don’t vote. No donors are going to donate to causes which the voters maybe possibly exist but don’t vote. It simply doesn’t happen.

          • @venusaur
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            11 month ago

            Nobody here is talking about people that never vote.

            • BarqsHasBite
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              1 month ago

              New to Lemmy? There are hordes of users (no exaggeration) that say they won’t vote because the Dems aren’t left enough and bothsidessame.

              • @venusaur
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                11 month ago

                I’ll take your word for it. I’m only talking about people in my situation. We’ve voted in the past and aren’t voting now. Presidents have won by focusing on getting out the vote for populations that have had low voter turnout.