https://t.me/oko_gora/12025

💩 Judging by satellite images for today, all ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet left the port of Novorossiysk.

The reasons for this decision of the Russian leadership and the route of the fleet are still unknown.

In the morning, part of the warships, as well as all the large landing ships, left Novorossiysk.


https://t.me/yigal_levin/67856?single

OSINT researcher HI Sutton reports that according to satellite surveillance data, ships leaving Novorossiysk in the morning (large landing ships and their escort) are moving in formation towards Crimea. Other ships, as previously reported, did indeed leave their berths, but the majority remained in Novorossiysk Bay.

@yigal_levin


https://t.me/Crimeanwind/60829

According to our source, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is currently conducting exercises.

Ships must be brought to their bases after 23:00.

We separate, the outcome is postponed for now.

  • @doodledup
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    2825 days ago

    Are they fleeing or are they preparing for an attack?

    • DarkThoughts
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      1225 days ago

      I thought they don’t have any cruise missile capable ships left there? What would they attack? I doubt they’d try a landing.

      • @doodledup
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        1225 days ago

        I thought they don’t have any […] capable ships left there.

        • @[email protected]
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          925 days ago

          They have a few, along with about a half dozen cruise missile capable SSKs, but they are definitely starting to run out.

  • @toofpic
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    1725 days ago

    Interesting - Novorossiysk was the furthest (from Ukraine) military port in the Black sea, and the ships were there because it’s harder to attack them there compared to Crimea. Where else could they hide, run away to Mediterranean? :)
    Or am I missing something?

    • WilshireOP
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      25 days ago

      The best guess I’ve read is that they will use landing ships to restore ferry service across the Kerch Strait.

      • Skua
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        3325 days ago

        That sounds like we’re about to see a lot of new additions to the involuntary submarine club

      • DarkThoughts
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        1125 days ago

        Maybe they can leave, but not enter. Would be kind of funny if they’d abandon the black sea like that.

        • @Sylvartas
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          1425 days ago

          It’s up to Turkey. But according to international treaties they can absolutely forbid them from leaving, iirc

          • @[email protected]
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            1025 days ago

            *unless it’s to return to their home port, but then they also cannot reenter. I think that most of the non black-sea fleet got out before the war or just was not in there at all

      • @toofpic
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        825 days ago

        Turkey controls it, and Turkey does whatever they find useful that day. Right now, Russia sold out “allied” Armenia to Azerbaijan, and Turkey is a part of the regional muslim bloc. I have no idea of their agreements, but it’s not like Turkey is anything close to being reliable partner to western countries

  • @[email protected]
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    625 days ago

    This is a very dangerous exercise in the current drone environment. I guess this maybe an ECM test en force? If the cost-benefit analysis of risking that much tonnage has been met, russian logistics are hurting much, much worse than has been let on to.

  • partial_accumen
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    325 days ago

    “Looks like meat’s back on the menu, boys!”