- cross-posted to:
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- cross-posted to:
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From the article:
“registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes cast by seniors, compared to 35 percent for Republicans.”
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Doesnt matter, their goal is to send the election to the Supreme Court and undemocratically win
My money says this race won’t be nearly as close as the polls suggest. Harris voters are far more motivated to keep Trump out than his supporters are to keep him in.
Harris voters are far more motivated to keep Trump out than his supporters are to keep him in.
I’m pretty sure that’s wrong. Remember that to Trump voters Harris is a woke China-loving communist n****r who’ll destroy America. They’re straight up fanatics.
And a large chunk of the younger voters aren’t responding to pollsters
A huge chunk of informed traditional conservative voters in red areas aren’t tipping their hand because of possible MAGA violence. Also, upper echelon Republicans want to defeat MAGA and regain control of their party but do not want to telegraph their votes.
I’m 57. I can’t count the number of SMS messages from “pollsters” that I’ve ignored over the past few months. And if the huge number of unknown callers I haven’t bothered to answer is any indication, then I’ve ignored many dozens of pollsters that way as well.
Thanks for making me feel young again for not answering the six unknown phone calls I get every day.
I really need to move out of a swing state.
I don’t answer any calls but I sometimes get polls via text message. I’ll sometimes fill out the latter.
Women live longer than men. The geriatric population will naturally be majority female.
That’s one reason why I put the 8nformation from the article in the comments
In Pennsylvania, where voters over the age of 65 have cast nearly half of the early ballots, registered Democrats account for about 58 percent of votes cast by seniors, compared to 35 percent for Republicans. That’s despite both parties having roughly equal numbers of registered voters aged 65 and older.
The partisan gap is narrower than it was in 2020, when views of early voting were more partisan, and Republicans take that as a good sign. But the GOP still is counting on more of its older voters to show up on Election Day, while Democrats have more votes in the bank.
So not lagging as much as 2020…
And concerning because Biden only won by 80k votes and it’s literally his home state.
The gap in early voting was never going to be as wide as 2020. Trump was actively telling his cult to NOT vote early. Now they’re telling them to do just that.
At the end of the day, the take-home message of this article is that Democrats are over-performing with seniors relative to 2020.
Trump is running 5 percentage points behind Harris among voters ages 65 and over, slipping back from the previous month, when he and Harris were tied with that demographic. It’s a major shift from 2020, when Trump carried 53 percent of the senior vote in Pennsylvania in a losing effort in the state.
NBC Early and mail in so far. 11am EST Nov 1 has 65 million votes so far. The battle ground only view is reflecting the OP’s article for PA.
If Trump loses Pennsylvania, his path to victory becomes very difficult. But, there is other media.
Recent polls show Kamala Harris with an advantage of 19 to 29 percentage points among voters who say they’ve already cast ballots, the Washington Post reports.
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https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/31/trump-lagging-early-votes-seniors-pennsylvania-00186612
