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- cross-posted to:
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Decision to push through budget has led to censure motions from left and far-right that could trigger fresh political crisis
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Yeah, I don’t see the NFP (left alliance) collapsing over this. Both them and the RN rn only has the
20272025 elections in their mind and want to break the current stalemate by dismantling the centrist coalition, one way or the other.The socialists have zero interest in breaking away from the NFP with whom they’ve only been gaining legitimacy to join Macron’s sinking ship.
What options does that actually leave? Well, Macron could play coy and the clock by nominating Barnier again (or someone worse, like Manuel Vals, or a member of Cioti (right-far)'s party, which would be the biggest insult to the elections in our history) until he can dissolve the parliement again… or he could resign.
The next weeks aren’t going to be fun.
Well there’s zero chance Macron will resign, so we’ll need to consider the other options…
So, his attempt to co-opt the far right into supporting his agenda failed, so he either has to make more concessions to RN to get them onboard (doesn’t really matter who the PM is, more what he will promise to get their support. Or he will try and get the NFP to agree to his agenda…which they won’t particularly after shunning them and refusing talks.
So, it’s either play a game of appointing PMs who lose confidence votes to run out the clock, or Macron making concessions to one side.
I’m betting on running out the clock, he seems utterly unwilling to negotiate with the left, and if he rolls over for the right the centrists get annihilated next election
It seems they down already.