Biden actually gained a point since last month’s survey, which was taken before the debate. In this poll, he leads Trump 50% to 48% in a head-to-head matchup. But Biden slips when third-party options are introduced, with Trump holding the slightest advantage with 43% to 42%.

Those numbers, though, do not represent statistically significant differences, as the margin of error in the survey is +/- 3.1 percentage points, meaning results could be 3 points higher or lower.

The poll also found that, at this point, no other mainstream Democrat who has been mentioned as a replacement for the president on the ticket does better than Biden.

The results reflect the hyperpolarized political environment in the country and the reality that both of the major parties’ presumptive nominees bring with them significant disadvantages. Majorities of those surveyed continue to say they have a negative opinion of both men, and neither, they say, should be on the ballot at all.

Archived at https://web.archive.org/web/20240712121307/https://www.npr.org/2024/07/12/nx-s1-5036518/biden-trump-poll

  • @givesomefucksEnglish
    0•2 months ago

    And in this poll, that person was Biden. So this poll is good news for Biden.

    Factually untrue:

    But Biden slips when third-party options are introduced, with Trump holding the slightest advantage with 43% to 42%.

    You didn’t even have to click the article, OP quoted it in the summary…

    Did you not even read that?

    Are you going to change your conclusion now?

    Or will you act like a trump supporter and change your “logic” so that you still get the conclusion you want?

    • @FlowVoidEnglish
      0•2 months ago

      In this poll, he leads Trump 50% to 48% in a head-to-head matchup.

      That’s all I care about.

      • @givesomefucksEnglish
        0•2 months ago

        Why?

        The general won’t be head to head.

        It’s going to have RFK jr’s brain worm, just like this poll.

        • @FlowVoidEnglish
          2•2 months ago

          No, the general mostly will be head to head. Because RFK isn’t even on the ballot in most states.

          • @givesomefucksEnglish
            -1•2 months ago

            Can you provide a single state where the only two options are going to be Biden or trump then?

            Because I don’t believe there’s a single one that’s actually “head to head” where the small part of this poll you care about would ever matter.

            • @FlowVoidEnglish
              0•2 months ago

              Moving goalposts so soon? You don’t seem to care about RFK any more.

              The only 3rd party candidates in that poll with over 2% are RFK and West. In most states, neither are on the ballot. So the relevant poll results are head to head.

              But keep trying to twist the results to explain Why This Is Bad News For Biden. Maybe you’ll land a job at the NYT.

              • @givesomefucksEnglish
                -2•2 months ago

                Moving goalposts so soon? You don’t seem to care about RFK any more

                Why would I?

                You said you only care about the head to head poll numbers.

                I want to know a single state where the election is actually head to head.

                Can you not do that?

                • @FlowVoidEnglish
                  0•2 months ago

                  I only care about the head to head numbers because the alternative includes candidates who most people can’t vote for.