Biden actually gained a point since last month’s survey, which was taken before the debate. In this poll, he leads Trump 50% to 48% in a head-to-head matchup. But Biden slips when third-party options are introduced, with Trump holding the slightest advantage with 43% to 42%.

Those numbers, though, do not represent statistically significant differences, as the margin of error in the survey is +/- 3.1 percentage points, meaning results could be 3 points higher or lower.

The poll also found that, at this point, no other mainstream Democrat who has been mentioned as a replacement for the president on the ticket does better than Biden.

The results reflect the hyperpolarized political environment in the country and the reality that both of the major parties’ presumptive nominees bring with them significant disadvantages. Majorities of those surveyed continue to say they have a negative opinion of both men, and neither, they say, should be on the ballot at all.

Archived at https://web.archive.org/web/20240712121307/https://www.npr.org/2024/07/12/nx-s1-5036518/biden-trump-poll

  • @FlowVoidEnglish
    -1•1 month ago

    I understand that your preferred poll includes candidates who most people can’t vote for.

    If I saw a poll where the choices were Biden, Trump, and Taylor Swift then I wouldn’t pay any attention to that one either. You probably would, though, if it was bad for Biden.

    • @givesomefucksEnglish
      0•1 month ago

      So you didn’t look at that link and see that the battleground states have third party candidates already on their ballots?

      Or you don’t understand that those are the states that matter?

      • @FlowVoidEnglish
        0•1 month ago

        Yes, and I also saw that the top 3rd party choices in the poll are not on the ballot in most battleground states.

        So most people who chose 3rd party in the poll will end up voting for someone else.

        So that poll is useless.

        • @givesomefucksEnglish
          1•1 month ago

          Yes, and I also saw that the top 3rd party choices in the poll are not on the ballot in most battleground states

          …

          I mean. That’s literally not true.

          But I’ve already given you the sources that show that.

          I led you to the water homie, I can’t make you drink it.

          • @FlowVoidEnglish
            0•1 month ago

            RFK is on the ballot in CA, UT, NM, OK, MN, MI, and DE

            West is on the ballot in OR, AK, CO, VT, and SC

            If you are in the battleground states of WI, PA, GA, NV, NC, or AZ then neither one is an option.