• @mkwt
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      37 hours ago

      I think Silver. Nate left FiveThirtyEight and now the site doesn’t even publish any kind of predictive model.

      • @ccunning
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        36 hours ago

        When did Nate Leave 538? Screenshot was from before the 2016 election.

        • @[email protected]OP
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          fedilink
          English
          56 hours ago

          I think it’s more than ABC News fired Nate and most people involved with FiveThirtyEight. Happened awhile ago, at least a year or two ago.

          • @ccunning
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            26 hours ago

            I looked it up. Looks like he were with 538 from 2008-2023.

            So to answer your original question, “It’s from 538 while Nate was still there” but I couldn’t say how directly involved he was with the models that backed this image from 2016. My assumption is that he would have been fairly deeply involved in the models though.

            • @[email protected]
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              fedilink
              13 hours ago

              He founded 538, and was the primary person behind the models while he was there. Got passed around between the New York Times and ESPN and ABC.

              He took the model with him when he left.

              As another poster mentions, there is plenty to criticize him over. I’m not even sure about the model anymore, but it’s not totally out of line from other models, either.