With Soviet Union it took a decade, but things are declining (collapsing) way faster in the Russian Federation today.
If this decline accelerates as hard as it looks, and Putin can’t stop it, the Russian federation could collapse politically already this summer. But it could drag out a couple of years. At that time, there will at the minimum be a regime change in Russia as I see it. As a result of a collapsed economy. Where the federal state simply can’t function anymore.
I believe we are seeing the point where the collapse of the Russian federation becomes clear.
https://www.rbth.com/society/2013/10/16/a_look_at_the_old_ration_system_in_russia_30163
With Soviet Union it took a decade, but things are declining (collapsing) way faster in the Russian Federation today.
If this decline accelerates as hard as it looks, and Putin can’t stop it, the Russian federation could collapse politically already this summer. But it could drag out a couple of years. At that time, there will at the minimum be a regime change in Russia as I see it. As a result of a collapsed economy. Where the federal state simply can’t function anymore.
If Trump does not force peace before that.
He can’t force it.
He could stop invading at any time.