“I expect a semi-dystopian future with substantial pain and suffering for the people of the Global South,” one expert said.

  • @Nobody
    link
    English
    12211 days ago

    There is no ceiling. It might go up 6 or 7C. The people who have the power to change things do not give a shit if the rest of us die. They don’t care, and they won’t change anything. That’s the world we live in.

      • @SendMePhotos
        link
        English
        13
        edit-2
        10 days ago

        If there are survivors, they will be the dicks. Nature is heartless and unforgiving. It is truly survival of the fittest.

    • @foggy
      link
      English
      3411 days ago

      They (selfishly) believe that allowing the problem to flourish is what will get us to solve it.

      They’re not wrong. There’s just way better, more humane approaches.

      So you’re mostly right. Because they know they have the wealth to weather the discomfort in comfort. But it is accurate that humans historically are fucking aces at reacting and kinda piss poor at proacting.

    • @WindyRebel
      link
      English
      25
      edit-2
      11 days ago

      Oh, you’re hot? Return to work. Our buildings are kept cool for your convenience! 😈

      That’s the next play

      • @unreasonabro
        link
        English
        12
        edit-2
        10 days ago

        uh no florida has already made the next play, and it was to repeal all protections for outdoor workers against the elements

        in other words the next move is literally “Fuck you, die”, apparently, so, good to know we’re past the bullshit and can get on with actually solving the problem properly.

    • @SlopppyEngineer
      link
      English
      12
      edit-2
      11 days ago

      Not really. Economies started to slow down and crash when warming gets over 2°C and CO2 production crashes with it.

      • @Nobody
        link
        English
        2711 days ago

        Finally some good news on the climate. Our ability to fuck the Earth will mostly go away when our civilization collapses. We might even get a second Genghis Khan cooling when everyone dies.

      • queermunist she/her
        link
        fedilink
        English
        1311 days ago

        The problem is that feedback loops start to kick in above 2°C so it doesn’t matter if the economy crashes.

        In fact, in some cases that makes things even worse. One example is that without smokestacks and ships pumping out sulfur dioxide the albedo of the atmosphere will rapidly drop, which might cause immediate and rapid warming over a period of only a few years.

        We could be pushed past 2.5°C or even 3°C without industrial forces contributing at all.

      • @CylonBunny
        link
        English
        1211 days ago

        There is a problem of lag. By the time temperatures are high enough to force the economy to stop, the amount of CO2 will be sufficient to continue pushing the temperature up considerably.

        • @SlopppyEngineer
          link
          English
          111 days ago

          There isn’t one definitive paper I can give. They’re are of course also papers claiming the opposite.

          I’ve seen multiple articles about this. Less yield from staple crops, productivity loss with heatwaves, storm damage. There are a bunch of papers too, usually about a specific region. But roughly above 2°C, the hurt really begins with the cost to the economy exceeding almost every country’s growth. Exact numbers differ per article.

          • @[email protected]
            link
            fedilink
            English
            311 days ago

            Too bad, I’ll have to hunt around myself. Simulation is always a bit vulnerable to assumptions when human behavior is involved, but it’s definitely worth trying to model things.

            If that’s true, the political landscape is going to become starkly different. We expect growth right now; it’s used as the yardstick of economic success. Obviously past civilisations didn’t, and we could go back, even peacefully for all I know, but it would be uncharted territory post-industrialisation.

            I kind of suspect climate adaptation produces more CO2 than other forms of activity, because it would be construction heavy. I wonder if that’s factored it. Actually, I wonder what the adaptation assumptions are in general.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      911 days ago

      I mean they might care when billions of people try migrating in to more northern countries.

      • @[email protected]
        link
        fedilink
        English
        12
        edit-2
        8 days ago

        As a citizen of one of those “more Northern countries”, that is one of the things that concerns me.

        • @[email protected]
          link
          fedilink
          English
          5
          edit-2
          11 days ago

          Same. England for me, but I think it’ll bother the people in power who abhor people migrating and also deny climate change or at the least taking adequate action to mitigate the effects / affects (which is it).

          Edit: The interweb says its effect.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      7
      edit-2
      11 days ago

      Well, renewables seem to be saving our undeserving asses, just by virtue of finally getting cheap.

      • @dgmib
        link
        English
        411 days ago

        Yes and no. Renewables are now cheaper than other forms of energy but cost isn’t the only issue.

        There are practical limits on how many renewables projects we can build and integrate at a time. We’re not even remotely close to building them fast enough to save anything. We can’t even build them fast enough to keep up with the ever increasing demand energy.

        Nuclear is expensive as fuck but we need to be building more of it as well as renewables because we can’t build enough renewables fast enough to avert the catastrophe, and that’s about the only other tech we have that can generate energy in the massive quantities needed without significant greenhouse gas emissions.

        • @[email protected]
          link
          fedilink
          English
          5
          edit-2
          10 days ago

          I don’t think that’s quite true. Where I live it has expanded from nothing to a major power source in just a few years. We’ll need grid storage of some kind to kick fossil fuels completely, but that seems surmountable. Worst case scenario we build pumped air and just eat some round trip losses.

          Nuclear plants take many years to get off the ground, so I’m not sure that’s actually an easier solution. Once they’re up and running at scale they’re actually really cheap per unit production, so I would have agreed with you a decade ago, but as it is solar and wind have just pulled ahead.

          • @dgmib
            link
            English
            210 days ago

            Don’t take my word for it. Look up the numbers for yourself and do the math.

            Search for “National GHG inventory {your country}”.

            You find a report listing (among a bunch of other things) the amount of electricity generated each year by each method, and the emissions from each. Look up the total TWh of electricity produced by fossil fuels.

            Then look at the total TWh from renewables, and rate it has been growing Y-o-Y and extrapolate until it reaches the number needed to eliminate fossil fuels.

            You’ll find it will take decades to build enough renewable capacity to replace fossil fuel based electricity generation.

            And that’s before you realize that only about 25% of fossil fuel combustion goes to electricity generation. As we start switching cars, homes, industries to electric we’re going to need 2x-3x more electricity generation.

            Yes it takes a long time to bring on a new nuclear plant, roughly 7-9 years. If it was remotely realistic that we could build enough renewable power generation in that time to replace all fossil fuel generation then I’d agree we don’t need nuclear. But we’re not anywhere close to that.

            It’s also helpful to note too just how much power a nuclear reactor generates. I live in Canada, our second smallest nuclear power plant in Pickering, generates almost 5 times more electricity annually than all of Canada’s solar farms combined. It will take 1000s or solar and wind farms covering and area larger than all of our major cities combined to replace fossil fuels…

            …or about 7 nuclear power stations the same size as Pickering.

            • @[email protected]
              link
              fedilink
              English
              13 days ago

              Alright, I can’t seem to find useful numbers anywhere. We went from 50% coal to nil in just a few years, though, so big changes fast are possible. If you’re in Ontario, you also have to consider your local renewables penetration was really high to start with, because of those waterfalls.

              And yeah, like I said to the other person, exact growth pattern matters. It’s probably exponential-ish right now, not linear, because it’s just unambiguously cheaper to move to renewables, and so just getting ducks in order to do it is the bottleneck.

            • @[email protected]
              link
              fedilink
              English
              27 days ago

              Sorry for the delay. I’m trying to get this the response it deserves, including gathering figures for Alberta, and some basic mathematical modeling.

            • @ammonium
              link
              English
              210 days ago

              Then look at the total TWh from renewables, and rate it has been growing Y-o-Y and extrapolate until it reaches the number needed to eliminate fossil fuels.

              You’ll find it will take decades to build enough renewable capacity to replace fossil fuel based electricity generation.

              I get ~2 decades when I extrapolate these numbers (from 2010-2023) to get to 2022 total primary energy usage for solar alone.

              Energy usage will grow as well, and keeping that growth is ambitious, but it the future doesn’t look that bleak too me if you look at it that way.

              • @[email protected]
                link
                fedilink
                English
                1
                edit-2
                3 days ago

                Did you use linear extrapolation, or something else? Because it’s an actual paradigm shift happening now, I’d guess some kind of exponential or subexponential curve would be best. That would bring it even faster.

                Extrapolation is tricky, and actually kind of weak, although I think it’s appropriate here. This XKCD explains it really well, and I end up linking it all the damn time.

                • @ammonium
                  link
                  English
                  22 days ago

                  Exponential, it fits the curve very nicely. I can give you the python code if you want to. I got 2 decades for all energy usage, not only electricity, which is only one sixth of that.

                  I just took the numbers for the whole world, that’s easier to find and in the end the only thing that matters.

                  The next few years are going to be interesting in my opinion. If we can make efuels cheaper than fossil fuels (look up Prometheus Fuels and Terraform Industries), we’re going to jump even harder on solar and if production can keep up it will even grow faster.

        • @grue
          link
          English
          4
          edit-2
          10 days ago

          I don’t mean to diminish your point about the utility of nuclear, but (a) it’s subject to the same ramping up/scaling issues as anything else*, and (b) you’d be surprised how quickly we could ramp up manufacturing of renewables if The Powers That Be actually wanted to.

          (* Or worse: in particular, the absolute debacle that was Plant Vogtle 3 and 4 – delivered years late and billions overbudget, while bankrupting Westinghouse in the process – shows that we definitely did not maintain our nuclear expertise over the past several decades of building exactly fuck-all new plants.)

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      111 days ago

      This why argued we might as well make it worse maybe we will suffer a bit less is unlikely change is coming in time anyways

  • @pageflight
    link
    English
    8011 days ago

    “I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” Gretta Pecl of the University of Tasmania told The Guardian. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.”

    But, reason to keep fighting:

    Others found hope in the climate activism and awareness of younger generations, and in the finding that each extra tenth of a degree of warming avoided protects 140 million people from extreme temperatures.

  • Avid Amoeba
    link
    fedilink
    English
    7911 days ago

    The Global South? Those people aren’t going to lay down and die. They’re gonna climb North, as they should. And then we’re gonna have to decide whether to shoot people approaching the borders or accept a huge population influx. Given our political reality, I think there’s a good chance we try the first option at first.

    • DarkThoughts
      link
      fedilink
      1511 days ago

      Right wing parties are already massively strengthening Frontex. They’re fully aware what will happen, but still not willing to kill our emissions. “Some of you may die, but it’s a sacrifice I am willing to make.”

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      811 days ago

      Yup. Sadly the truth. And then probably cry about all these migrants bothering them “for no reason”, and that it’s hard to find a good reef to dive in on vacation.

  • @rayyy
    link
    English
    6711 days ago

    People will be fleeing famine, uninhabitable areas, rising sea levels and wars. The areas that can support life will grow smaller, more valuable and crowded.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      25
      edit-2
      11 days ago

      What worries me is that combined with anti immigrants sentiment. I fear beaches of dead as people are prevented from fleeing. I read a SciFi with that and it chilled me as I can see it happening.

      • @John_McMurray
        link
        English
        -1610 days ago

        Prevented from arriving is how anti immigration works, not leaving. Jesus. Think. If you can.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      1211 days ago

      Will we be assholes if when this happens we be like. WE FUCKING TOLD YOU THIS WOULD HAPPEN, but y’all more concerned with arguing over pronouns and protests (I support both).

      • @fukurthumz420
        link
        English
        210 days ago

        hear hear! please stop fighting over the petty things and get to work on the things that matter. electing a president that will fight climate change is far more important than what happens in the middle east.

      • @[email protected]
        link
        fedilink
        English
        110 days ago

        I get your frustration. I feel it myself. Still, I fear, calling people assholes won’t be helpful and prevent folks from admitting they did wrong. At the same time, it can always get worse (hotter) and I think it would be best to win as many people over as possible, to do the right thing.

        I don’t know. We’re fucked anyway, I guess.

        • @fukurthumz420
          link
          English
          210 days ago

          stop worrying about being polite and start attacking the root of the problem - conservatives.

        • @John_McMurray
          link
          English
          -310 days ago

          Yes yes, suddenly we shouldn’t mock because it’s unhelpful…not see through at all.

          • @fukurthumz420
            link
            English
            010 days ago

            mocking is pointless. most conservatives don’t care if you mock them. neutralizing their threat to democracy is the answer.

      • Dojan
        link
        English
        1
        edit-2
        10 days ago

        I mean the ones that think that trans people shouldn’t have human rights also tend to be the ones who don’t believe in climate change so…

        • @fukurthumz420
          link
          English
          210 days ago

          so ____ all conservatives for the sake of humanity. i’ve been saying this for decades.

          • Dojan
            link
            English
            110 days ago

            Given that they’re anti-humanity, it seems like a logical step.

        • @Aux
          link
          English
          -110 days ago

          Lol ook.

  • @Linkerbaan
    link
    English
    6010 days ago

    We’ve tried nothing and we’re all out of options.

  • @Shelbyeileen
    link
    English
    4011 days ago

    I have a postmortem science degree, but hobby in studying paleontology/pre-history. It took a rise of only 10°C and excess pollution to wipe out over 83% of all life on the planet between the Permian and Triassic eras. Entire chains of life just wiped out. Carbon dating, sediment layer study, fossil records, they all show how screwed me are if we keep this up. The earth will survive, it always does, but it took 30 million years before life recovered.

    Humans need to learn from the past, see the consequences of what most would think is a small change, but the ones in power don’t seem to give a shit.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      1711 days ago

      If you don’t mind me asking what does postmortem mean in this context? I have this funny image in my head of a skeleton studying for a degree lmao

      • @Shelbyeileen
        link
        English
        511 days ago

        Mortuary science, pathology, autopsies, etc. I was going for a masters in Anatomic Pathology before I became disabled. I just research all things dead. I was always the weird little girl that liked studying mummies and fossils, so it seemed the logical step when I was choosing a career

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      11
      edit-2
      11 days ago

      Worse. Normal people don’t give a shit. Even the ones that are on the team that buys into it don’t want to give up much to fix it.

      • @grue
        link
        English
        3
        edit-2
        10 days ago

        That’s part of the issue, but the even bigger problem is that people fallaciously think they have to give up much to fix it when the reality is a combination of (a) they don’t, and (b) the changes that they do have to make actually represent an improvement in lifestyle, not a deprivation.

        For example, Americans who’ve been brainwashed for decades by GM propaganda about the “open road” and car-dependent suburban “American dream” and whatnot have to be dragged kicking and screaming into higher zoning density and walkabilty, but once people have it they realize they’re happier, healthier, have more free time, etc.

        • @[email protected]
          link
          fedilink
          English
          010 days ago

          Well, no. Burning fossil fuels was indeed cheaper than any other energy source, until recently, and for some things still is by far the cheapest. So yeah, we have to sacrifice something today to not cook the Earth. Apparently that’s too abstract for us, though, and we will knowingly steer towards a cliff a few decades away.

          As an example, in Canada we have a modest carbon tax, and one that comes right back to people as refunds. It’s still become a political lightning rod and the entire campaign target of the opposition, who is decisively leading in the polls right now. Another one, gen Z says they care, but it’s not grandma buying Shein.

          • @grue
            link
            English
            010 days ago

            Investing in better technology is categorically disqualified from counting as a “sacrifice!”

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      911 days ago

      Could you help me understand how we differentiate the latest warming temperatures being related to climate change and not just another period like the one you mentioned?

      To be clear, I fully believe that climate change is real, but sometimes when discussing it with people they will be of the camp that things are cyclical and just natural. I want to better arm myself for these arguments.

      • @Shelbyeileen
        link
        English
        710 days ago

        Mass extinction events have a cause. The Permian/Triassic one I mentioned, is generally agreed to be from unusual movement of earth’s crust, creating severe volcanic activity. The eruptions caused CO2 and pollution, meaning greenhouse gasses built up. The heat shifted water currents and the temperatures, mixed with acid rain, decimated life in the oceans.

        Humans are basically the volcanoes in modern times. Yes, the earth goes through normal changes, but these temperatures are increasing at a speed that, to my knowledge, has never happened. There is a way of teaching kids about how long the earth’s had life, that visualizes it pretty well. If all of earth’s history were to fit on your arm, shoulder to fingertips, if you gently scratched your fingernail on something rough, you’d erase all of humankind. We have barely existed on earth, but are throwing it off balance like never before. (With the exception of the meteor that killed the dinosaurs, but that’s a whole other tangent)

        Having taken years of pathology/physiology classes, it really feels like the earth is a body, and it’s getting a fever to try and deal with an illness… us.

        Lmk if you need any sources. I can’t exactly copy my books or the ones from my old college’s libraries, but there’s plenty of studies/resources out there if you’re nerdy enough to dig 😊 (fossil pun)!

        • @grue
          link
          English
          2
          edit-2
          10 days ago

          Mass extinction events have a cause. The Permian/Triassic one I mentioned, is generally agreed to be from unusual movement of earth’s crust, creating severe volcanic activity.

          I think you’d get your point across even better with less understatement.

          Let’s put it this way: by “severe volcanic activity,” what you really mean is that an area roughly the size of Europe was buried half a kilometer deep in lava!

          We have barely existed on earth, but are throwing it off balance like never before. (With the exception of the meteor that killed the dinosaurs, but that’s a whole other tangent)

          I think we may very well be on par with the meteor, TBH. Especially in the worst-case emission scenario.

          (Speaking of the K-Pg meteor, another large igneous province, similar to but smaller than the one at the P-T boundary, was basically the “exit wound” of that meteor impact. It could very well be that the P-T extinction was caused the same way, but all evidence of the crator would have been obliterated by subduction over the past 250 MY because the antipode of Siberia back then would’ve been somewhere in the middle of the Panthalassic Ocean. Edit: I take that back; turns out there is some evidence for it that managed to survive, so that’s neat.)

          • @Shelbyeileen
            link
            English
            210 days ago

            Thank you for adding more information. I love reading more about this stuff. It would make sense if a meteor was related to the P-T volcanic activity. It would easily have enough force to mess with the crust of the earth.

      • @[email protected]
        link
        fedilink
        English
        19 days ago

        I have a fun snarky way to handle “cyclical” people. If they say it’s cyclical I’ll say “so there will be dinosaurs.” And if they ask what I mean, I say “it’s a cycle, so there will be dinosaurs again.” If they say no, I ask if the continents will come together again. It’s an argument towards absurdity to point out that the world is always changing, as is the climate, so there is not a “cycle.”

    • @Burn_The_Right
      link
      English
      711 days ago

      but the ones in power don’t seem to give a shit.

      Conservatives also don’t give a shit.

      • DarkThoughts
        link
        fedilink
        511 days ago

        The majority of people on both sides of the spectrum don’t give a shit. People need to stop acting like this is just politicians, or CEOs, when it is the vast majority of the voters & potential voters. You’d see a lot more votes towards green parties & candidates if it were different. But the truth is, most people don’t want to lose their comfortable lifestyle. Real climate action would affect us all, in our lives, in the prices we have to pay for products, in the products available to us, how we move around, etc etc.

        • @grue
          link
          English
          110 days ago

          But the truth is, most people don’t want to lose their comfortable lifestyle.

          The real truth is, the notion that a lower-carbon lifestyle is somehow inferior to our current car-dependent bullshit is 100000% fallacious bullshit brainwashed into us by the automobile industry. Walkability is just better in every way (environmentally, economically, sociologically) and people whose lifestyle doesn’t depend on cars are, statistically, happier and healthier than people who do.

          • DarkThoughts
            link
            fedilink
            010 days ago

            Now try to explain that people have to give up their job that’s in the neighboring city, or having to get up 1-2 hours earlier due to bad train or bus connections, or that they now cannot get groceries anymore because they live in suburbia and have to drive an hour out to some massive parking lot desert to shop in their IKEA sized grocery halls. And that’s just relating to the personal transport sector.

            • @grue
              link
              English
              110 days ago

              Why do you persist in assuming that all those shitty circumstances would continue to exist when they are exactly the things I’m saying we should be fixing? The whole idea is to have lots of nearby employers, good train and bus connections, grocery stores within walking distance (and with little to no parking), etc.

              The #1 priority for reducing climate change (and fixing almost all our problems, from housing affordability to obesity) is zoning reform.

              • DarkThoughts
                link
                fedilink
                010 days ago

                Because no one is willing to change those things. No politician who would be willing to go this far would be voted in because of the intermediate issues this would cause for people. And doing a super slow transition would be too late at this point, especially since we’re way past schedule already in regards to our emission models. It even starts with the simple fact that people are simply not willing to get rid of their cars, even if public transport was good and completely free. So you’d be left with enforcing people not to drive, which is obviously also not going to happen for the same reasons.

                The #1 priority for reducing climate change (and fixing almost all our problems, from housing affordability to obesity) is zoning reform.

                Only in countries like the US, who have a disproportional large portion of transport emissions. But a lot of our emissions in the West simply come from the production of our goods that we buy and give us our comfy lives.

                • @grue
                  link
                  English
                  110 days ago

                  deleted by creator

                • Dojan
                  link
                  English
                  110 days ago

                  It even starts with the simple fact that people are simply not willing to get rid of their cars, even if public transport was good and completely free. So you’d be left with enforcing people not to drive, which is obviously also not going to happen for the same reasons.

                  Induced demand can work in reverse. Stop expanding roads. Redesignate some lanes to public transport only. Why take the car and sit in a queue for 2 hours when a bus can get you to work in 30 minutes without any queues?

      • @postmateDumbass
        link
        English
        111 days ago

        I think they give a shit.

        Enjoyment counts as giving a shit.

  • @[email protected]
    link
    fedilink
    English
    4011 days ago

    The used the wrong language even though they need to because they need to be accurate.

    “Global South” and “by 2100”

    Billionaires: oh so not in my yard and not in my lifetime? Great! Drill baby drill!

  • @[email protected]
    link
    fedilink
    English
    3410 days ago

    Let’s stop climate change!

    Let’s stop it at 1 degree!

    Let’s stop it at 1.5 degrees

    Okay, we might get to 2.5 degrees, but the economy!

    This will go on until we get to around 5 degree and most parts of the world have become uninhabitable and most animals and vegetation has gone extinct and we’ve locked ourselves in perpetual wars due to water and food shortages. Sounds like a shitty B movie, but this is what I truely believe we will end up with.

    • NιƙƙιDιɱҽʂ
      link
      English
      22
      edit-2
      10 days ago

      If it makes you feel any better, once it gets that bad, society will eventually break down and our CO2 levels will naturally return to normal over the next several centuries while the Earth is reclaimed by nature as we go extinct.

    • @TokenBoomerOP
      link
      English
      910 days ago

      I’m hopeful economies and governments will collapse before 3 degrees and measures will be put in place. I’m not extrapolating a utopian future. Before we get to the point where the world reacts, there will be many wars, migration and fascism. But as it gets worse, I’m hopeful groups will work together and fight for a better future.

      • @[email protected]
        link
        fedilink
        English
        16 days ago

        Nah, what will happen is that said incompetent governments will be replaced by incompetent dictatorships that will just tell people over the barrel of a gun that things are better now.

        • @TokenBoomerOP
          link
          English
          16 days ago

          A nuclear winter will cool things off quite a bit.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      -110 days ago

      Sounds like a shitty B movie, but this is what I truely believe we will end up with.

      And we’ll deserve every bit of it.

  • @Daft_ish
    link
    English
    3310 days ago

    I read this headline and think, “this will happen and still nothing will be done.”

  • Track_Shovel
    link
    fedilink
    English
    2911 days ago

    Fun fact: a lot of mining companies have been incorporating climate change projections into their closure plans for years now, using RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios. Hey, we are using a thermal cover to make sure this gargantuan pile of mine waste rock doesn’t cause metal leaching/acid rock drainage issues later on: we’d better over-engineer it to take on higher-than expected warming, given that we’ll be liable for it for the next 100+ years

    • @HasturInYellow
      link
      English
      711 days ago

      It’s certainly interesting, but I feel mostly sad thinking that it’s just BAU for everyone, even when everything is dying. Such a great example of it.

      • Track_Shovel
        link
        fedilink
        English
        511 days ago

        I ‘like’ the part where they acknowledge and plan for it yet everyone is still squabbling about if it’s even happening

  • @[email protected]
    link
    fedilink
    English
    2711 days ago

    Bit of a misdirect in the headline. This was not primarily a scientific projection. This was a political reckoning by scientists who had recently suffered the bureaucratic pain of serving on the IPCC, and voluntarily responded to a survey.

    As one climate scientist put it:

    “As many of the scientists pointed out, the uncertainty in future temperature change is not a physical science question: It is a question of the decisions people choose to make,” Texas Tech University climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe wrote on social media. “We are not experts in that; And we have little reason to feel positive about those, since we have been warning of the risks for decades.”

    Change never comes from politicians first, but these are people who are zoomed in on whether politicians are changing their minds.

    They’re not going to change their minds slowly over time. It’s gonna be nothing at all until the electorate is too loud to ignore, and then suddenly 100% of officials will claim they’ve “always condemned fossil fuels”, “from day one”, and “in the strongest terms possible”.

    We’ve seen time and again that policy changes tend to bubble just below the surface for long time and then suddenly emerge with multiple changes happening in quick succession.

    I was of voting age when just saying the word “civil union” in the context of gay rights was political suicide, and I’m not that old. Things can change quickly. Keep your hope alive and keep agitating. We can do this.

  • @[email protected]
    link
    fedilink
    English
    2511 days ago

    we need some people, either hacking or inside job, setting the temperature in all conference rooms used by any politicians worldwide 2.5 degrees C higher than normal.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      1811 days ago

      Oh, if only.

      The shitty thing is they’d start wearing lighter clothes, and use it as a campaign point that it’s not that bad, actually. Power appears to be a hell of a drug.

      • @WindyRebel
        link
        English
        6
        edit-2
        11 days ago

        Then we get inside people to give them 1/4 of their catered food that they ordered so they can be warmer AND hungrier.

        Let. Them. Fight.

  • @A_Random_Idiot
    link
    English
    24
    edit-2
    10 days ago

    We’re close to blowing past 1.5c

    I think we’ll blow past 2.5c

    I think we’ll be looking back, waving longingly to the incredible hulk ending song, to 5c

    Because the world doesnt exist to serve the 8 billion humans. It exists to serve a few thousand rich and business owners. . which means as long as there is profit to be had, the killing of the planet and the population will continue not only at pace, but ever accelerating

    • @meleecrits
      link
      English
      2011 days ago

      22% of climate scientists are likely funded by big oil. The other 1% are just normal stupid.

      • Flying SquidM
        link
        English
        2311 days ago

        I can see some climate scientists just saying that 2.5C won’t be as dire as others predict without being stupid or paid off. There are often contrarians and sometimes (not often, but sometimes) they can be right, so it’s healthy to have them even when there is broad consensus. It’s how we came to accept ideas like plate tectonics.

        https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/when-continental-drift-was-considered-pseudoscience-90353214/

        So sure, maybe some of them are paid off (I doubt any of them are stupid since they have scientific degrees), but maybe some of them just disagree about the predictions for whatever semi-legitimate or maybe even legitimate reason and that’s fine. It’s worth exploring why just in case they could be right. The thing is, they’re scientists who are dissenting, not just some random guy on Facebook, which is why it’s worth exploring them.

    • @RedWeasel
      link
      English
      411 days ago

      To be fair we don’t know what the bottom climate scientists think. They be closer to 100%.

  • @The_Tired_Horizon
    link
    English
    2410 days ago

    There was a powercut this week in a large part of Mexico (I know because of family from there). They’re getting rarer now as Mexico has really tried to get its grid uptogether. The downside of countries like this having more stable grids is more people and business installing aircon systems, which just means more energy used, more emissions.

    The funny thing is there are ways to passively cool areas. You can literally install shading over windows and walls that face the main sun. Last year in the UK we had a few days where it was over 35C. Nobody here has aircon. So that heat is a shock to us. But I managed to cover the outside of open windows with reflective bubble wrap insulation cut into sheets.

    I also installed a small solar system on our shed to run a fridge freezer out there. The funny thing is the half inch stand-offs actively created significant shading and the inside of the shed really cooled down to where we could sit in there and chill out or do tasks without melting. When I realised this I started looking online for research on solar power and shading and found agrovoltaics. Solar panels over farm crops such as fruit in hotter regions mean less watering needed… its more spread out than usual solar farms as it has to let the sun in a bit more to the food but its something that needs to be done more.

    I also read of people ignoring their energy policy for their home electric and installing grid-tie solar. They use sheds, stands in their garden, conservatory roofing etc, and usually just a few hundred watts of solar. Typically homes have a fuse rating of 30-50 amps. One 300w solar panel grid tied is not going to be anywhere near that, but will mean up to 300w of clean energy. Energy companies should just allow these systems, even provide them if its a problem or worry to them. You can buy this stuff off amazon for a few hundred quid.

    • @jose1324
      link
      English
      710 days ago

      Haha and Italy just banned agrovoltaics!

      • @The_Tired_Horizon
        link
        English
        410 days ago

        Perfect place for it too. All those grapes will be sour.

    • @[email protected]
      link
      fedilink
      English
      4
      edit-2
      10 days ago

      Also, and it’s kinda insane to me that not more people do this: just grow any plant on the sides of your house. If you are worried about your walls build a cheap metal fence a few centimetres before that wall. It’s the cheapest insulation you can get.

      Wild wine, ivy, anything that will climb and live more than a year would work.

    • @nutsack
      link
      English
      310 days ago

      it’s the same in vietnam, where it reaches 40c. many do not use ac

      • @The_Tired_Horizon
        link
        English
        110 days ago

        I remember being there in 2013 and the rivers and streams were all dried up. They were quite worried about farming.

    • @Aux
      link
      English
      -410 days ago

      What do you mean no one has an aircon in the UK? I have. Plenty of my friends have them as well.

      • @The_Tired_Horizon
        link
        English
        210 days ago

        I have a small unit too, but we’re the rare ones. “Nobody” means “majority” here or do I really have to be literal wth everyone on the internet???

        • @Aux
          link
          English
          110 days ago

          I have a small unit too

          Haha!