The new NBC News poll shows 51% of registered voters saying they plan to vote early, with that group breaking hard for Harris and Election Day voters backing Trump.
Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, new figures from the September NBC News poll show, with Democrats continuing to run up the score among early voters and Republicans getting stronger backing from those who plan to vote in person on Election Day.
Fifty-one percent of voters say they’ll vote early, either by mail or in person, with Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 61%-35% (a 26-point margin) among those voters.
By comparison, Trump leads by 20 points, 57%-37%, with the group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, which accounts for 45% of the electorate in the poll. It’s a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters.
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Democrats - particularly in low-income and minority majority areas - tend to face enormous lines at voting booths on election day. Polling stations regularly run out of ballots or have lots of broken and misconfigured machines. Polling delays can lead to legal drama around whether ballots will even be counted
Republicans, particularly those concentrated in the wealthy suburbs, rarely have these problems.
This tends to shape voter behavior over the long term.
What about Democrats in cities and wealthy suburbs? As a lifelong Republican and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t Democratic-leaning.
As a lifelong Republican and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t Democratic-leaning.
As a lifelong independent and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t flush with conservatives. Every major city in Texas is teaming with them. Staten Island in New York puts up some of the state’s only GOP Congressmen. Virginia, California, Ohio… JD Vance is the picture of suburban conservative voter. And what is New Jersey if not a suburb of New York City? They run out the Chris Christie brand of politician on the reg?
Interesting. I’ve been to some of these states, and with the exception of California, these states are either purple or blue with high concentrations of Democrats in urbanized areas.
White Flight which peaked in the 90s/00s means the urban cores tend to be liberal while the surrounding suburbs are full of reactionaries.
We see the writing on the wall. Someone(s) is(are) going to attack a voting center eventually since them attacking the certification didn’t work.
A few mail carriers, and other bad actors were found to be throwing away bags of mail-in ballots for exactly this reason.
Didn’t
MassachusettsMontana or something leave Harris off of their early voting card?https://apnews.com/article/montana-electronic-ballots-kamala-harris-7b6e178c32db2d14871d333e4af14c15
My state of New Hampshire doesn’t allow early voting and gets to watch as all the tax revenue from legal weed goes to the states surrounding us because of Republicans.
Live Free or Die my ass lol
As a Pennsylvanian I understand your pain.
Ohio legalized before us. Fucking Ohio.
Texan twiddling his thumbs like…
Texas will need to go blue before that happens. Republicans know that selective enforcement by racist police keeps people they don’t want to vote in jail.
Texas is a lot bluer than people give it credit for, but we are one of the most gerrymandered states in the union. Going blue will take more like 70/30 instead of 51/49.
Before people judge the state, they should look at how the populated cities vote, and understand that the big swaths of red on the election map tend to be inhabited by cows and hogs.
Hey now. We’ve also got goats and fish.
And really ticked off blue voters watching the same Trump fondlers get elected over and over again
As a person living in Maine, I do love the legal weed but it’s getting pretty annoying when every new business that opens is a dispensary. I have no idea how they all make enough revenue to stay open. Some blocks in Portland literally have 3+ dispensaries.
Seattle here. It will even out.
New Hampshire residents will gladly fork over money lol.
I guess I’ll die then.
Which states are getting that money?
Vermont, Massachusetts, and Maine. Even America’s Hat, Canada did the right thing! Republicans are the fucking worse.
Ohhhh, I misunderstood what you were saying. Yeah, you guys are like the only ones in the Northeast where you can’t buy anything. Always blows my mind
Me too. It’s stupid.
Thankfully Maine has god level dispensary offerings.
And no winner takes all for electoral votes (high fives from Nebraska)
And DeJoy is still Postmaster General. I’m sure he won’t try to fuck with and delay the carriage of completed and returned ballots just like he did in 2020. WCGW 🤦♂️
Early voting also means in person early voting
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I’d agree but it’s kind of hard to mess with voting from now until election day unless it’s already happening. I’ve seen no reports of issues with mail in ballots.
I live in Boston. It IS happening right now.
idk, I think dejoy is your standard sycophantic flunky. whoever has the power gets to tell him what to do and he will do it faithfully.
If you’re in TX, polls will be open from Oct 21- Nov 1, with one final day to vote on Nov 5. Your voter registration must be approved on or before Oct 7 to vote in this election.
Polls will be open at least 9 hours the first week and at least 12 hours during the second week and final day to vote. Go early and you won’t have much of a line, if there’s even a line at all! We were the first state with early voting, so take advantage of it!
www.votetexas.gov has all the info you need. You can check your voter registration, find voter registration forms, see polling locations and their hours for the entire voting period, and find answers to other election questions.
This may have something to do with which states do all-mail voting:
Eight states—California, Colorado, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont and Washington and the District of Columbia—allow all elections to be conducted entirely by mail.
Utah is deep red, but the others are quite blue. Especially with California in there, that’s a pretty good chunk of the US that votes early by default (there are same-day options in these states, but I suspect that option is often utilized due to procrastination rather than intentionally waiting until election day to vote).
Before 2020 republicans used to dominate early voting.
I wonder what changed. /s
Fuck DeJoy with Trump’s rancid bean.
Its a real poison pill for both early voting, voting by mail and elections in general.
You would think that fear of potential election day fiascos would drive Trump supporters to vote early, no? It was a minor calculous in my own decision to vote early (though not a major one, even if there are election shenanigans they’d never happen where I live).
In Florida, the early votes are tabulated election day morning and are reported with the first results reports from the precinct.
So if I’m doing my math correctly, that’s 49%-45% for Harris in the popular vote. And that 49% is pretty much right on where she’s been polling in traditional polls. But Trump has been polling way higher than 45% recently—so if this is in any way true, he’s got a much tougher path to victory ahead of him than the standard numbers suggest.
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